Massive overbet on river/is this ever correct?
PokerStars – 10/20 Ante 3 NL – Holdem – Hand converted by PokerTracker 4 Hero (CO): 74.85 BB BTN (BTN): 73.85 BB SB (SB): 78.2 BB BB (BB): 74.85 BB UTG (UTG): 74.85 BB UTG+1 (UTG+1): 74.85 BB MP (MP): 74.85 BB MP+1 (MP+1): 73.85 BB MP+2 (MP+2): 74.85 BB 9 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB Dealt to Hero: Qs,Js fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, SB calls 2 BB, fold, MP+1 calls 1.5 BB probably should have made it 3,5BB on account of the limper but I i actually didn’t notice him hence the 2,5 open Flop (9.85 BB, 3 players): 5s Qd Qh SB checks, MP+1 checks, Hero checks I should probably c bet at this board all the time but hey trips plus BDFS so I thought slowplaying a little bit wouldn’t hurt too much, BUT IS THAT CORRECT? Turn (9.85 BB, 3 players):As SB checks, MP+1 checks, Hero bets 3.25 BB, SB calls 3.25 BB, fold I chose to bet small but on retrospect i should probably bet bigger charge the aces and any flush draw PLEASE COMMENT ON THAT River (16.35 BB, 2 players): 10s SB bets 16.35 BB, Hero raises to 68.95 BB and is all-in, SB calls 52.6 BB well this is i think the most controversial decision: I tanked and thought that usually pot donk bets at those tables represent extreme strength. BUT i also thought AQ + is somewhat unlikely (i d expect a 3bet from AQ AA maybe even 1010) so what could he possibly have? a flush trips or a full house. I beat all flushes except king high ones and given that he is in the sb he could have pretty much any suited hand. KQ could take this line as well as any smaller queen including the remaining QJ. So a call minimum is standard. now to the raise part: Hands that call my shove that beat me: AQ AA 1010 Q10 K high flushes. Realistically Q10 and the nut flushes, maybe AQ that doesnt 3bet. Hands that call my shove that i beat: any other queen any other flush (+an unlikely straight that somehow found its way to the river). Some low flushes and some low queens obviously fold but given that my opponent is the type of guy who would donk pot on the river is my assumption that he might call with worse here correct? Would you recommend another course of action? (you probably would but what? ON ALL STREETS) Im no phil ivey and i feel that I made numerous mistakes here submitted by /u/itsmenikos [comments]
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